- Ph.D 1973 (Economics), Stanford University
- M.A. 1971 (Economics), Stanford University
- B.S. 1968 (Economics), California Institute of Technology
Dr. Manning has three major areas of research in health economics: health insurance, mental health, and poor health habits.
- His primary research interests have been in the effect of alternative health insurance arrangements (e.g., cost sharing and managed care) on health status, and the cost and use of health services. He has developed a formal model to estimate the optimal health insurance coverage by considering the tradeoff between the costs from moral hazard and the gains from risk pooling in health insurance.
- Dr. Manning has investigated the economics of poor health habits -- smoking, heavy drinking, and lack of exercise - including the costs of such behavior, price and policy determinants of smoking and drinking behavior.
- He has ongoing interests in cost-effectiveness analysis, both applications and theory. Recent studies have examined screening and treatment for depression in primary care.
As a part of the work in this substantive area, he has been examining alternative estimation strategies for dealing with cost and expenditure data, which exhibit a substantial proportion of cases at zero and the remaining cases are very skewed to the right.
- Polsky, D., J.A. Doshi, J. Escarce, W. Manning, S.M. Paddock, L. Cen, and J. Rogowski, “The Health Effects of Medicare for the Near-Elderly Uninsured,” Health Services Research, 44(3), 926-945, 2009.
- Ellis, R.P., and W.G. Manning. “Optimal Health Insurance for Prevention and Treatment,” Journal of Health Economics, 26(6): 1128-1150, 2007.
- Simon, G.E., W.J. Katon, et al. “Cost Effectiveness of Systematic Depression Treatment among People with Diabetes,” Archive of General Psychiatry, 64(1): 65-72, 2007.
- Fleishman, J.A., J.W. Cohen,W.G. Manning, M. Kosinski, ”Using the SF-12 Health Status Measure to Predict Medical Expenditures,” Medical Care, 44(5) (suppl):I-54-I-63, 2006.
- Manning, W.G., A. Basu, and J. Mullahy, “Generalized Modeling Approaches to Risk Adjustment of Skewed Outcomes Data,” Journal of Health Economics, 24: 465-488, 2005.
- Basu A, Manning WG and Mullahy J. Comparing alternative models: Log vs. Cox Proportional Hazard. Health Economics, 13(8):749-765, 2004. DeLeire T and Manning WG. Labor market costs of injury and illness: Prevalence matters. Health Economics, 13(3):239-260, 2004.
- Veazie PJ, Manning WG, and Kane RL. Improving risk adjustment for Medicare capitated reimbursement using nonlinear momdels. Medical Care, 41(6):741-752, 2003.
- Farrell S, Manning WG, and Finch MD. Alcohol dependence and the price of alcoholic beverages. Journal of Health Economics, 22:117-147, 2003.
- Meltzer D, Manning WG, Morrison J, Shah MN, Jin L, Guth T, and Levinson W. Effects of physician experience on costs and outcomes on an academic general medicine service: Results of a trial of hospitalists. Annals of Internal Medicine, 137(11):866-874, 2002.
- DeLeire T and Manning WG. Labor market costs of injury and illness: Prevalence matters. Health Economics, 13(3):239-260, 2004.
- Keeler TE, Hu TW, Manning WG. State tobacco taxation, education and smoking: The effects of omitted variables. National Tax Journal, 54(1):83-102, 2001.
- Manning, WG and Mullahy J. Estimating log models: To transform or not to transform? Journal of Health Economics, 20(4):461-494, 2001. Also, National Bureau of Economic Research, Technical Working Papers 246, 1999.
- Simon GE, Manning WG, et al. Cost-effectiveness of systematic depression treatment among "High Utilizers" of general medical care. Archives of General Psychiatry, 58:181-187, 2001.
- Manning, WG and Marquis MS. Health insurance: The trade-off between risk pooling and moral hazard. Journal of Health Economics, 15(5):609-639, 1996.
- Manning, WG, Blumberg L, and Moulton L. The demand for alcohol: The differential response to price. Journal of Health Economics, 14:123-148, 1995.
- Manning, WG, Keeler EB, et al. The taxes of sin: Do smokers and drinkers pay their way? Journal of the American Medical Association, 261(11):1604-1609, 1989.
- Manning, WG, Newhouse JP, et al. Health insurance and the demand for medical care: Evidence from a randomized experiment. American Economic Review, 77(3):251-277, 1987.
- Applied Regression Using Small Area Variations(HSTD 451), 1998-2000, 2002
- Applied Econometrics I (PPHA 420), 1999-2008
- Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (HSTD 371/PPHA 382), 1999, 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007, 2008
- Health Economics and Health Policy (PPHA 383/HSTD 383), 2008, 2009
- Introductions to Health Services Research (HSTD 351), 2004
Link to Harris School Website:
http://harrisschool.uchicago.edu/faculty/web-pages/willard-manning.asp
Last Updated: April 14, 2010